Saturday, December 29, 2012

A Moment with Mike -- Cautious Optimism for 2013 Budget



It is always exciting to roll into the new year, with new resolutions, anticipation and apprehension of what the year will bring.  It is no different in the Missouri General Assembly.  We have closed the last chapter of 2012 and the 96th General Assembly.  It is time to look ahead, assess the needs of our state and begin the yearly process of evaluating and budgeting.
      While our state has seen some tough budget situations in recent years due to our sluggish economy, we hope those days may soon be behind us as Missouri’s economic engine starts to rev up.  We have seen declining unemployment rates significantly below the national average and our tax and regulatory environment has continued to make our state an attractive location for new businesses.  We still have much work to do if we are going to be competitive  but our past efforts to create a business friendly atmosphere have helped stabilize our state and give us a sound financial base.
      The budget leaders from the House and Senate recently met with representatives from the governor’s office to take a look at the direction we are headed for the next fiscal year that will begin July 1, 2013.  After crunching the numbers they agreed on what is known as a consensus revenue estimate, which is the amount of money the state can expect to have on hand for budgetary purposes.    The good news is the estimate for fiscal year 2014 represents an increase of $237 million over the estimate used to prepare the budget for the current fiscal year.  The total amount of general revenue the state is anticipated to have for the next budget is $7.929 billion.  These numbers, of course, are estimates and can only be used to help guide us through the process.  This revenue estimate is based on anticipated economic growth of 4.8 percent.  It also factors in the several million dollars lost of one-time funding , which will decrease our available revenue.   Overall, it is good news as every dollar we gain is a dollar we can use to the benefit of Missouri families.  We have had to make tough decisions in recent years when it comes to cuts in the budget.  It is my hope that the 2013 session will make for an easier budget process as the uptick in revenue will prevent the need for cuts to critical areas such as education.
      Even though we have reason to be optimistic, we must keep in mind that the past few years have put us way behind in many areas and the climb back to prosperity may be slow and tedious.   Two or three hundred million dollars will not stretch far enough to make up for the shortage in the funding formula for our public schools, the decline in state support for our public higher education institutions, the diminishing funds for the department of transportation, the cuts endured by health care providers, capital improvement needs to our public facilities and the ever- growing cost of Medicaid.  It is obvious that the process of providing services for the state of Missouri will continue to be a challenge and the priorities will be debatable, however, we are on the right track and will continue to do the best we can to spend your money wisely.
      As we all assess our priorities, our needs and our budget for 2013, we may find that we too will have to make decisions and we may not have everything that we would like to have.  I am thankful, however, that we live in a state and nation that still offers many opportunities and we must remain optimistic about our future.   I would like to wish you all a very happy and prosperous New Year.
          If you have questions, you may reach me at my Capitol number 573-751-9465, at the local district number, 660-582-4014, by email at mike.thomson@house.mo.gov or by mail at Room 401B State Capitol Building, Jefferson City, MO 65101.

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