The Post Carbon Institute's report concludes that we face serious, and heretofore unacknowledged, production constraints with shale gas that mean the following three things are very unlikely to happen:
1. Meeting the Energy Information Agency’s projections for natural gas to 2035.
2. Replacing significant amounts of coal-fired electricity with natural gas (not included in EIA projections).
3. Transitioning significant % of the vehicle fleet to burn natural gas (also not included in EIA projections).
All of three of these would require much higher levels of drilling and higher prices than projected by the EIA. At least 35,000 new wells will need to be drilled each and every year to meet EIA projections. More still to provide more natural gas-fired electricity and far more than this number to transition the vehicle fleet.
The fact that they would have to drill 35,000 new wells each year would directly affect Worth County -- Natural Gas interests would seek to locate here similar to what CAFO interests did in the region back in the 1980's and 1990's following the Farm Crisis. Where would they find all the land to drill all this natural gas? Our hunting, our fishing, and our farmlands are still our three most valuable assets here. Bring in the natural gas interests into the equation and you would take away our chief economic assets. And then what would we do once the natural gas runs out?
We have a much more sustainable path to an energy future free of foreign oil and free from the threat of terrorism -- put solar power on every rooftop and a wind farm in every town and we'll see how much we can shed our dependence on foreign oil. And while we're at it, let's invest in math and science so we can do it cheaper.
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